Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Trades

Trades

Re: Detailed/In depth Trades
performancetradingconcepts.com

I just put in a WO ( working order ) to buy 1 dollar future contract ( DXH2 contract) @ 80.70 LMT GTC. I'll also add to this trade if/when it moves lower.

I'm filled on this trade. I'm long 1 DXH2 dollar future contract. I will hold this for some days. I'll also add to this trade if/when it moves lower.

I'm going to add another contract on this position at 79.80

I'm filled on this trade. I'm long 2 DXH2 dollar future contract. My average price is 80.25. I will hold this for some days. I'll also add to this trade if/when it moves lower.

Trades

Trades

Re: Detailed/In depth Trades
performancetradingconcepts.com

I just put in a WO ( working order ) to short 1 oil contract ( CLH2 contract) @ 101.50 LMT GTC. I'll also add to this trade if/when it moves higher.

I'm filled on this trade. I'm short 1 CLH2 oil contract. I will hold this for some days. I'll also add to this trade if/when it moves higher.

I'm going to put in a target for this trade. At this moment I have a WO ( working order ) ( BUY 1 CLH2 @ 98.00 LMT GTC ) at 98.00
I'm going to slide this target to 98.10 so I actually get filled.

This target was hit Sunday during overnight. This position/trade is closed with profit.

Monday, January 23, 2012

China Reduced Treasury Holdings for Second Straight Month as Yields Fell

China Reduced Treasury Holdings for Second Straight Month as Yields Fell

* China Reduced Treasury Holdings for Second Straight Month as Yields Fell -Jan 18, 2012 3:49 PM ET
bloomberg.com

" China, the largest foreign lender to the U.S., reduced its holdings of Treasuries in November for a second month as yields on the debt approached lows of the year and total foreign demand accelerated. China’s U.S. government securities ownership shrank by 0.1 percent, or $1.5 billion, in November to $1.13 trillion, according to Treasury data released yesterday. The Communist nation’s bill holdings fell 12 percent to $2.3 billion. "

" Foreign Ownership Rises

Total foreign holdings rose 1.7 percent in November to $4.75 trillion, U.S. government data show. Foreigners held 48 percent of the $9.88 trillion of outstanding public Treasury debt, up from 47.8 percent the month before. Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries have risen 7.1 percent this year through November, the smallest increase since 2006. International ownership of U.S. government debt rose 20 percent annually in the prior two years, and at a compound rate of 17 percent since 2001, or as far back as the data are available. Treasuries returned 0.73 percent in November after losing 0.76 percent in October, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Treasury Master Index. Yields on benchmark 10- year notes were 1.9 percent, down from 2.07 percent on Nov. 30. "

" Holdings Revisions

China’s holdings of U.S. debt have fallen 2.4 percent this year through November to $1.13 trillion, the least since July 2010, when they totaled $1.12 trillion, from $1.16 trillion at the end of 2010, Treasury data show.The data are expected to be revised in 2012. On Feb. 28, 2011, the U.S. updated earlier estimates, showing China’s Treasury investments in October 2010 were a record $1.18 trillion, 30 percent more than the initial estimate of $906.8 billion. "

This whole article is very interesting. In my opinion, This article shows money is going to continue flowing back to the U.S.A as people realize there's no where else to put their money since other favored countries are starting to fail. Not only that but this data in this article clearly show China is trying to raise money because it's about to be announced that China is going to have a debt issue just like the U.S and Europe and now China. China already knows this themselves and ,In my opinion are trying to act on it before people liquidate there China assets and cause China to devalue, So by the time people do, China can manage this devalue in a more efficient way, Because either way, It's going to happen and China knows this. U.S assets and the dollar will continue to increase in value from this occurrence

Friday, January 6, 2012

Geithner to Travel to China, Japan to Discuss Iran Sanctions

Performance Trading Concepts »Member's Area »GENERAL TOPICS
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=51.msg400#msg400

This is an interesting article in my opinion,These actions raises a lot of questions. In my opinion, I can't see Iran cutting off their income. It does not make sense for Iran to do this.

* Geithner to Travel to China, Japan to Discuss Iran Sanctions-Published: Wednesday, 4 Jan 2012 | 1:08 PM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45872502

" Geithner's trip is the latest step in an accelerating U.S. effort to reduce Iran's oil revenue and try to force the country to abandon its suspected nuclear weapons program. At the same time, the Obama administration wants to avoid a spike in crude prices that could threaten the global economy. The Treasury Department said Geithner would "discuss our continued coordination with international partners in the region to increase pressure on the government of Iran, including financial measures targeting the central bank of Iran." President Barack Obama on Saturday signed into law new sanctions against financial institutions dealing with Iran's central bank, the main conduit for the country's oil revenues. China, the No. 1 customer for Iran's oil, is unlikely to be swayed by the new U.S. law, analysts have said. China's Foreign Ministry on Wednesday restated Beijing's opposition to the U.S.-led push for unilateral sanctions on Iran. Oil markets are closely eyeing the increased tension between Tehran and the West. The European Union is expected to consider by the end of the month whether to impose an oil embargo. Iran has warned it could choke off crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a transit point for 40 percent of the world's oil, if sanctions were imposed. Many market participants, however, say the chance Iran will follow through with its threat is remote, and security analysts question whether it has the capability to shut the Strait. "

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Thursday, January 5, 2012

Performance Trading Concepts » Michael Krash's Trading Biography

I started to learn about trading, global business, the world economy and how typical country economies operate in September of 2007.

After many years of research and observation, I finally decided to take action as I had finally had enough of being broke. Being a welder in Las Vegas was not fulfilling my intense interest in world markets and afforded me no time to follow my passion. I knew about the potential of markets and about the huge potential to make good money by applying what I knew.

I finally decided to do something about that and in Sept. 07 I decided to take the step. One day I turned on CNBC and despite its many biases and shortcomings I was able to see the forest for the trees and continued to glean all of the market information I could absorb on a daily and nightly basis, for as many hours a day as I could possibly manage. I've spent night and day since then learning everything I possibly could about finances, trading, business etc. I am still learning, but have advanced to a level parallel to Mount Everest and the view is nothing short of breathtaking! My goal is to effectively communicate and share my view with my subscribers, so that they too can enjoy the view!

I think I have reached the level shared by only the top 10% of traders, ("10%-er"), however I leave that determination for my viewers/subscribers to contemplate.

Performance Trading Concepts Concept Explained » My Concept

My Intention is to provide constructive comments, analysis, data and education on Global Business, Trading & Investing information with the intent to provide any trader or who ever is interested with a "Leg-up" over the typical trader. I consider myself to have progressed over the last few years to the point where I think I can talk about myself as an above average trader, even to the point of referring to myself as a "10%-er" trader, or in other words, I believe I am in the top 10% of all traders!

The purpose of this site is to provide traders, those interested in becoming a trader or who ever is interested the opportunity to learn how to think and trade or invest like a "10%-er" or above average trader.

Buy the Euro and the Swiss Franc in 2012: Jim Rogers

Buy the Euro and the Swiss Franc in 2012: Jim Rogers
« on: January 03, 2012, 07:10:01 AM »
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=173.msg395#msg395

*Buy the Euro and the Swiss Franc in 2012: Jim Rogers-Published: Tuesday, 3 Jan 2012 | 4:31 AM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45854214

Asked how well his fund performed in 2011, Rogers said that he is “still able to pay his bills” and that the fund had fared better than it had the previous year.

" The euro and the Swiss franc will be smart currency plays in 2012, Jim Rogers, the billionaire investor and author, told CNBC Tuesday.Rogers, who recommended buying the euro, which has since fallen in value, in an appearance on CNBC in November, said that he was thinking about buying more euros after selling some in recent weeks, as hedge funds unwind their short positions in the currency. “I suspect (German Chancellor Angela Merkel) and that crowd will do something to make us feel better,” he added. "

Is this guy serious about buying the euro? He says,"I sold some Euro's,but I'm going to buy more." Why would you sell some if you believe it's going up in value? Then he says,"A Lot of Governments will Print Money in 2012." Does he also mean the ECB,and if not then what makes him think the ECB will not print money? They will be the one to print money first. This will dilute the value of the euro,which means it will move lower in value. In my opinion,I think he doesn't fully understand the situation and doesn't know what to do and is trading on hope.

China Set to Bolster Short Selling

Performance Trading Concepts »Subscriber's Area-InDepth Trades »IMPORTANT DATA/ANALYSIS
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=20.msg401#msg401

This is very interesting, and leads me to think of two reasons. One would be, they don't believe that they will have a debt issue like Europe and the U.S.A. had and this will back fire on them. Or two, once the debt issue is establish,they want to accelerate the deflation process.Which tells me that they know they will have a debt issue and are trying to conceal this fact at this moment. In my opinion, This sounds like they are preparing for deflation.

* China Set to Bolster Short Selling-Published: Wednesday, 4 Jan 2012 | 6:17 PM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45876823

" China is poised to unveil measures to bolster the country’s nascent short-selling industry in an effort to deepen its capital markets, according to securities officials and fund managers.Beijing will create a new body called the Centralised Securities Lending Exchange to facilitate short selling as early as this quarter. China Securities Regulatory Commission, the market regulator, will be the largest shareholder in the body, which was first mooted last year.Short sellers sell borrowed shares in the hope of reaping a profit by buying the equivalent securities back later at a lower price and returning them to the lender.The practice has been curbed in some markets on the grounds it can exacerbate volatility, and Beijing has care to retain control of its introduction and development. Defenders of the practice say it increases liquidity and provides income for shareholders who are willing to lend their securities.China embraced short selling in 2010, but efforts to promote its use have been hampered by the limited number of shares available for qualified asset managers to borrow. "

China Vulnerable to Asset Bubbles, Warns IMF

China Vulnerable to Asset Bubbles, Warns IMF
« on: November 15, 2011, 08:30:29 AM »
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=104.msg398#msg398

This is very important in my opinion.This is indicating that China is not as strong as what is said by others.China having a debt problem will occur,they are the worlds creditor,how will they not be impacted.

*China Vulnerable to Asset Bubbles, Warns IMF-Published: Tuesday, 15 Nov 2011 | 2:15 AM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45298098

"China's biggest commercial banks face systemic risks if a combination of credit, property, currency and yield curve shocks that could be withstood in isolation were to occur together, the International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday.But China can contain these dangers by freeing up financial markets to give investors, commercial banks and the central bank greater autonomy from government control, the fund said in its first-ever review of the Chinese financial system.While not predicting an imminent disaster, the IMF made clear China needed to act quickly because it is vulnerable to destabilizing asset price booms."

*BofA Sale Highlights End of Era for Foreign, China Banks -Published: Tuesday, 15 Nov 2011 | 3:23 AM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45296846

Quote from: admin on December 29, 2011, 06:21:57 AM-IMPORTANT DATA/ANALYSIS
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=20.msg379#msg379

Another indication that China is going to have a debt problem like Europe and the U.S.A

*Funds Expect Surge of Bad Loans in China-Published: Wednesday, 28 Dec 2011 | 7:19 PM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45809794

" Foreign and domestic distressed debt funds expect a big supply of bad loans to come on to the market in China after at least five years in which banks largely sat on their portfolios of troubled loans.Executives at Clearwater Capital, a Hong Kong-based fund, and at Guangzhou-based Shoreline Capital say Chinese lenders must dispose of existing bad loans to prepare for a new batch of non-performing debt, stemming from the credit binge Beijing encouraged following the global financial crisis.“Now that there is a new flow of bad loans, the banks have to dispose of their legacy loan problem,” says Ben Fanger, co-founder of Shoreline. “Deals being offered to Shoreline are at prices that are lower, on average, than in recent years. We are now having meaningful dialogues again. "

" The extent to which Chinese banks deal with their problem loans provides clues to the health of the economy generally. By cleaning up their balance sheets, the Chinese banks will make room for new lending and financial experts suggest that any sign that China is dealing with bad debts in a commercial way is reassuring for future growth and the investment climate generally. "

" China’s big banks are under pressure to sell their non-performing loans because they face tougher reporting requirements after listing in Hong Kong. Moreover, Chinese banking regulators believe the banks are underreporting their problem loans and have urged lenders to double their capital cushions. "

" While nobody can calculate the potential supply, the way China revved up its credit machine in 2009 suggests the figure could be substantial. Morgan Stanley reckons Chinese banks lent more than $4.1 trillion in the two years from the end of 2008. Total credit estimates rise to $5.7 trillion when flows outside formal bank lending channels are included.The credit boom came to an end earlier this year as Beijing started raising interest rates to rein in inflation and an overheated property market. However, last month it eased monetary policy slightly amid fears that economic growth was slowing and that the Chinese manufacturing sector was taking an unexpectedly big hit from a decline in foreign orders, while inflation has been on a downward trend. "

" Estimates vary widely on the amount of bad loans in China. While Chinese regulators in March put the figure at less than $500 billion, Fitch, the rating agency, estimates non-performing loans exceed $2 trillion. That amount can only swell as Chinese manufacturers receive fewer overseas orders because of the euro zone crisis and a weak economic recovery in the US. "

Re: China Vulnerable to Asset Bubbles, Warns IMF
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2012, 06:12:46 AM »
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=104.msg398#msg398

This is indicating that China is having a debt problem that will occur,now it's obvious.

*China Uncovers Massive Irregularities in Local Government Debt-Published: Wednesday, 4 Jan 2012 | 2:17 AM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45865642

" China has uncovered 530 billion yuan ($84.21 billion) worth of irregularities with local government debt, the National Audit Office said on Wednesday.An audit report, published on China's central government website, reveals some of the problems investment analysts had believed to lay beneath the 10.7 trillion mountain of debt that local governments had amassed by the end of 2010.The report, conducted for the 2010 budget year, found problems including 46.5 billion yuan worth of "irregular credit guarantees", 73.2 billion yuan worth of loans secured against irregular collateral, 35.1 billion yuan spent on stocks, houses and polluting plants and 132 billion yuan worth of expenditure not made by its approved deadline."A fifth problem is the fraudulent and underpayment of registered capital in financing vehicles, which amounted to 244.15 billion yuan," the report said. "

More post on China about China's debt issue occurring since October of 2011
Performance Trading Concepts Blog »Taiwan Arms Sale, Currency Bill to Hurt Ties: China
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=28.msg38#msg38

Performance Trading Concepts Blog »China’s Tightening Cycle Is Over: Experts
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=46.msg67#msg67

Performance Trading Concepts Blog »China’s Foshan Suspends City’s Decision to Ease Home-Purchase Limits
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=41.msg55#msg55

Subscriber's Area-InDepth Trades »CONCEPTS
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=21.msg229#msg229

General Content »GENERAL/MISCELLANEOUS COMMENTS
http://www.performancetradingconcepts.com/index.php?topic=53.msg252#msg252